Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2.858245 3.408468 4.006857 4.702411 5.485031 6.334810 7.323593
2026-01-11 2.185914 2.931159 3.810377 4.909464 6.231329 7.754735 9.627164
2026-01-18 1.629050 2.455833 3.511297 4.922302 6.722159 8.904106 11.709319
2026-01-25 1.167088 1.990756 3.130570 4.757451 6.950250 9.733090 13.455025
2026-02-01 0.847750 1.640755 2.829345 4.634138 7.191787 10.571312 15.247310
2026-02-08 0.618801 1.364444 2.574732 4.524248 7.417507 11.381108 17.030555
2026-02-15 0.460656 1.159009 2.384320 4.470195 7.697980 12.263161 18.939474
2026-02-22 0.382379 1.076305 2.374413 4.683138 8.372711 13.718071 21.685904
2026-03-01 0.293942 0.944026 2.252045 4.692943 8.730478 14.729565 23.850165
2026-03-08 0.199055 0.759170 1.993656 4.434040 8.636063 15.062100 25.050990
2026-03-15 0.136433 0.623066 1.797760 4.251379 8.636269 15.519532 26.433257
2026-03-22 0.115891 0.596076 1.823931 4.476320 9.322808 17.048328 29.439155
2026-03-29 0.102823 0.589133 1.897246 4.805692 10.220472 18.963089 33.119324
2026-04-05 0.088426 0.570959 1.941367 5.081745 11.042294 20.792710 36.733844
2026-04-12 0.067142 0.513602 1.878902 5.135149 11.472673 22.015266 39.464695
2026-04-19 0.044589 0.430630 1.730235 4.988874 11.528897 22.630915 41.277931
2026-04-26 0.029265 0.363990 1.605955 4.875354 11.631017 23.318072 43.215752
2026-05-03 0.018644 0.307630 1.493414 4.769718 11.734029 24.002106 45.159113
2026-05-10 0.011955 0.265200 1.410086 4.718616 11.934318 24.852702 47.386348
2026-05-17 0.009706 0.257437 1.440263 4.943577 12.690587 26.680558 51.231178
2026-05-24 0.006313 0.228463 1.387324 4.955756 13.018706 27.774728 53.910695
2026-05-31 0.002772 0.178007 1.233464 4.687098 12.751838 27.810720 54.854692
2026-06-07 0.001130 0.141913 1.117703 4.497290 12.629233 28.089568 56.197463